Promising directions of China-Afghanistan cooperation for the Central Asian region

Abdullayeva, Ozoda, Абдуллаева, Озода, Abdullayeva, Ozoda

Жамият ва инновациялар / Общество и инновации / Society and innovations · 2026-yil

Annotatsiya

Since 2021 China has expanded its engagement with Afghanistan across diplomacy, trade preferences, transport infrastructure, and extractive concessions, yet the consequences of this engagement for Central Asia remain poorly specified in the scholarly literature. This article asks which domains of China-Afghanistan cooperation have moved beyond declaratory agreement into implementation, through which mechanisms their effects reach Central Asia, and under what conditions Chinese-sponsored corridors through Afghan territory complement rather than displace Central Asian connectivity strategies. The study applies a theory-guided qualitative design combining documentary analysis of official sources, descriptive trade statistics and structured comparison across six cooperation domains scored against four maturity criteria. The findings indicate a pronounced asymmetry: diplomatic engagement and trade facilitation are substantially institutionalised, transport connectivity is advancing unevenly, and extractive investment and the Afghan extension of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor remain largely declaratory. Bilateral trade is structurally lopsided, with Chinese exports exceeding imports by a factor above thirty-five. For Central Asia the effects travel through four channels – transit substitution, security externalities, market competition and normative diffusion - whose net sign depends on sequencing rather than on the volume of Chinese capital. The article argues that Afghanistan’s value to Central Asia lies less in any single corridor than in the redundancy generated by several partially completed ones.

Maqola ma’lumotlari
MualliflarAbdullayeva, Ozoda, Абдуллаева, Озода, Abdullayeva, Ozoda
JurnalЖамият ва инновациялар / Общество и инновации / Society and innovations
NashriyotIn Science МЧЖ
ISSN2181-1415
Nashr sanasi2026-08-25
Jild7
Son8/S
Betlar147-157
TilIngliz
Ilmiy sohaIqtisodiyot
DOI10.47689/2181-1415-vol7-iss8/s-pp147-157
Indeksga qo‘shilgan2026-09-09

DOI: 10.47689/2181-1415-vol7-iss8/s-pp147-157 · Maqolaning asl sahifasi

Kalit so‘zlar

China-Afghanistan relations, Central Asia, Belt and Road Initiative, transport connectivity, geoeconomics, Trans-Afghan corridor, китайско-афганские отношения, Центральная Азия, инициатива “Один пояс, один путь”, транспортная связанность, геоэкономика, Транс-Афганский коридор, Xitoy-Afg‘oniston munosabatlari, Markaziy Osiyo, “Bir makon, bir yo‘l” tashabbusi, transport bog‘liqligi, geoiqtisodiyot, Trans-Afg‘on koridori

Ilmiy soha

Iqtisodiyot

Iqtibos keltirish

APAAbdullayeva, Ozoda, Абдуллаева, Озода, & Abdullayeva, Ozoda (2026). Promising directions of China-Afghanistan cooperation for the Central Asian region. Жамият ва инновациялар / Общество и инновации / Society and innovations, 7(8/S), 147-157. https://doi.org/10.47689/2181-1415-vol7-iss8/s-pp147-157
GOST (OAK)Abdullayeva, Ozoda, Абдуллаева, Озода, Abdullayeva, Ozoda Promising directions of China-Afghanistan cooperation for the Central Asian region // Жамият ва инновациялар / Общество и инновации / Society and innovations. – 2026. – T. 7, № 8/S. – P. 147-157. – DOI: 10.47689/2181-1415-vol7-iss8/s-pp147-157.
MLAAbdullayeva, Ozoda, Абдуллаева, Озода, and Abdullayeva, Ozoda. “Promising directions of China-Afghanistan cooperation for the Central Asian region.” Жамият ва инновациялар / Общество и инновации / Society and innovations, 7(8/S), 147-157, 2026. https://doi.org/10.47689/2181-1415-vol7-iss8/s-pp147-157
ChicagoAbdullayeva, Ozoda, Абдуллаева, Озода, and Abdullayeva, Ozoda. “Promising directions of China-Afghanistan cooperation for the Central Asian region.” Жамият ва инновациялар / Общество и инновации / Society and innovations, 7(8/S), 147-157 (2026). https://doi.org/10.47689/2181-1415-vol7-iss8/s-pp147-157
HarvardAbdullayeva, Ozoda, Абдуллаева, Озода, and Abdullayeva, Ozoda (2026) ‘Promising directions of China-Afghanistan cooperation for the Central Asian region’, Жамият ва инновациялар / Общество и инновации / Society and innovations, 7(8/S), 147-157. https://doi.org/10.47689/2181-1415-vol7-iss8/s-pp147-157
BibTeX
@article{abdullayevaozoda2026,
  title = {Promising directions of China-Afghanistan cooperation for the Central Asian region},
  author = {Abdullayeva, Ozoda and Абдуллаева, Озода and Abdullayeva, Ozoda},
  journal = {Жамият ва инновациялар / Общество и инновации / Society and innovations},
  year = {2026},
  volume = {7},
  number = {8/S},
  pages = {147-157},
  doi = {10.47689/2181-1415-vol7-iss8/s-pp147-157},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.47689/2181-1415-vol7-iss8/s-pp147-157}
}

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