Neuro-explicit econometric modeling of the social efficiency of economic growth

Juraev , Farrukh, Mirzayev , Shokhrukh, Жураев , Фаррух, Мирзаев , Шохрух, Jo‘rayev , Farrux, Mirzayev , Shoxrux

Илғор иқтисодиёт ва педагогик технологиялар · 2026-yil

Annotatsiya

The article presents a multifaceted econometric approach to modeling the social effectiveness of economic growth-the classical econometric model, the hybrid model, and the neuro-explicit model and provides a comparative analysis of their results. The classical econometric model is constructed in the form of multi-factor linear regression (OLS), in which, along with the growth rates of investment and employment, the growth rate of gross domestic (regional) product (GDP) is taken as the input parameter. The empirical basis of the study is quarterly indicators (64 observations) covering the period from 2010 to 2025 using the Kashkadarya region as an example. The hybrid model is built by correcting the classical regression prediction at the residual level using a neural network, while the neuro-clear model is built by training a three-input (3–5–5–1 architecture) neural network and extracting clear rules from it using a decision tree. According to the research results, all three models possess high accuracy (RMSE 0.729; 0.693; 0.575), where the neuro-clear model provides the highest predictive accuracy, while the classical model provides the highest explainability. Based on the classical econometric model, a statistically significant and positive impact of GDP growth rates on the social efficiency of the Kashkadarya population was determined (β = +0.43; p < 0.001)

Maqola ma’lumotlari
MualliflarJuraev , Farrukh, Mirzayev , Shokhrukh, Жураев , Фаррух, Мирзаев , Шохрух, Jo‘rayev , Farrux, Mirzayev , Shoxrux
JurnalИлғор иқтисодиёт ва педагогик технологиялар
NashriyotТошкент давлат иқтисодиёт университети ҳузуридаги «Ўзбекистон иқтисодиётини ривожлантиришнинг илмий асослари ва муаммолари» илмий-тадқиқот маркази
ISSN1994-2025
Nashr sanasi2026-10-19
Jild3
Son5
Betlar424-431
TilIngliz
Ilmiy sohaIqtisodiyot
DOI10.60078/3060-4842-2026-vol3-iss5-pp424-431
Indeksga qo‘shilgan2026-10-20

DOI: 10.60078/3060-4842-2026-vol3-iss5-pp424-431 · Maqolaning asl sahifasi

Kalit so‘zlar

classical econometric model, hybrid model, neuro-explicit modeling, neuro-explicit, multi-factor regression, gross domestic product, social efficiency index, rule-making, neural network, Kashkadarya region, классическая эконометрическая модель, гибридная модель, нейро-ясное моделирование, нейро-эксплицитная, многофакторная регрессия, валовой внутренний продукт, индекс социальной эффективности, вынесение правил, нейронная сеть, Кашкадарьинская область, klassik ekonometrik model, gibrid model, neyro-ravshan modellashtirish, neyro-ravshan, ko‘p omilli regressiya, yalpi ichki mahsulot, ijtimoiy samaradorlik indeksi, qoida chiqarish, neyron tarmoq, Qashqadaryo viloyati

Ilmiy soha

Iqtisodiyot

Iqtibos keltirish

APAJuraev , Farrukh, Mirzayev , Shokhrukh, Жураев , Фаррух, Мирзаев , Шохрух, Jo‘rayev , Farrux, & Mirzayev , Shoxrux (2026). NEURO-EXPLICIT ECONOMETRIC MODELING OF THE SOCIAL EFFICIENCY OF ECONOMIC GROWTH. Илғор иқтисодиёт ва педагогик технологиялар, 3(5), 424-431. https://doi.org/10.60078/3060-4842-2026-vol3-iss5-pp424-431
GOST (OAK)Juraev , Farrukh va b. NEURO-EXPLICIT ECONOMETRIC MODELING OF THE SOCIAL EFFICIENCY OF ECONOMIC GROWTH // Илғор иқтисодиёт ва педагогик технологиялар. – 2026. – T. 3, № 5. – P. 424-431. – DOI: 10.60078/3060-4842-2026-vol3-iss5-pp424-431.
MLAJuraev , Farrukh, Mirzayev , Shokhrukh, Жураев , Фаррух, Мирзаев , Шохрух, Jo‘rayev , Farrux, and Mirzayev , Shoxrux. “NEURO-EXPLICIT ECONOMETRIC MODELING OF THE SOCIAL EFFICIENCY OF ECONOMIC GROWTH.” Илғор иқтисодиёт ва педагогик технологиялар, 3(5), 424-431, 2026. https://doi.org/10.60078/3060-4842-2026-vol3-iss5-pp424-431
ChicagoJuraev , Farrukh, Mirzayev , Shokhrukh, Жураев , Фаррух, Мирзаев , Шохрух, Jo‘rayev , Farrux, and Mirzayev , Shoxrux. “NEURO-EXPLICIT ECONOMETRIC MODELING OF THE SOCIAL EFFICIENCY OF ECONOMIC GROWTH.” Илғор иқтисодиёт ва педагогик технологиялар, 3(5), 424-431 (2026). https://doi.org/10.60078/3060-4842-2026-vol3-iss5-pp424-431
HarvardJuraev , Farrukh, Mirzayev , Shokhrukh, Жураев , Фаррух, Мирзаев , Шохрух, Jo‘rayev , Farrux, and Mirzayev , Shoxrux (2026) ‘NEURO-EXPLICIT ECONOMETRIC MODELING OF THE SOCIAL EFFICIENCY OF ECONOMIC GROWTH’, Илғор иқтисодиёт ва педагогик технологиялар, 3(5), 424-431. https://doi.org/10.60078/3060-4842-2026-vol3-iss5-pp424-431
BibTeX
@article{juraevfarrukh2026,
  title = {NEURO-EXPLICIT ECONOMETRIC MODELING OF THE SOCIAL EFFICIENCY OF ECONOMIC GROWTH},
  author = {Juraev , Farrukh and Mirzayev , Shokhrukh and Жураев , Фаррух and Мирзаев , Шохрух and Jo‘rayev , Farrux and Mirzayev , Shoxrux},
  journal = {Илғор иқтисодиёт ва педагогик технологиялар},
  year = {2026},
  volume = {3},
  number = {5},
  pages = {424-431},
  doi = {10.60078/3060-4842-2026-vol3-iss5-pp424-431},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.60078/3060-4842-2026-vol3-iss5-pp424-431}
}

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