Econometric modeling and evaluation of development indicators of cotton–textile clusters

Djuraev Turabay, Джураев Турабай, Djurayev Turabay

Меҳнат иқтисодиёти ва инсон капитали · 2026-yil

Annotatsiya

The article is devoted to the development and application of an econometric model in the form of a system of simultaneous equations for forecasting the development indicators of a cotton-textile cluster (CTC). Particular attention is paid to testing the identifiability of the system. Due to the presence of endogenous variables, the two-stage least squares method (2SLS) is applied to estimate the model parameters. The authors propose an over identified system consisting of six linear equations with four variables. Based on this model, a six-step algorithm for evaluating CTC development indicators has been developed in specialized econometric software. At the first step, the volume of raw cotton (seed cotton) production on a farm is determined using either a classical linear equation or the Cobb-Douglas production function in logarithmic form. The result of this step is the pure theoretical forecast values of the volume of raw material produced, excluding the influence of random factors. At the second step, the volume of cotton fiber production is calculated: for this purpose, the previously obtained value of the raw cotton volume is multiplied by the technological fiber yield coefficient. From the third to the fifth step, the indicators of the vertically integrated technological chain are calculated, covering enterprises of the oil and fat sector, as well as spinning, weaving, finishing, and garment production. At the sixth step, an algorithm for calculating financial indicators is applied, which makes it possible to assess the overall economic efficiency of the CTC.

Maqola ma’lumotlari
MualliflarDjuraev Turabay, Джураев Турабай, Djurayev Turabay
JurnalМеҳнат иқтисодиёти ва инсон капитали
NashriyotТДИУ
ISSN3030-3117
Nashr sanasi2026-09-30
Jild5
Son5
Betlar133-141
TilIngliz
Ilmiy sohaIqtisodiyot
DOI10.67668/lehc/vol5iss3/338
Indeksga qo‘shilgan2026-10-03

DOI: 10.67668/lehc/vol5iss3/338 · Maqolaning asl sahifasi

Kalit so‘zlar

Paxta-toʻqimachilik klasteri, ekonometrik modellashtirish, integratsiya, ekonometrik tahlil, samaradorlikni baholash, qoʻshilgan qiymat yaratish zanjiri, Хлопково-текстильный кластер, эконометрическое моделирование, интеграция, эконометрический анализ, оценка эффективности, цепочка создания добавленной стоимости, Cotton-textile cluster, econometric modeling, integration, time series, econometric analysis, efficiency evaluation, value-added chain

Ilmiy soha

Iqtisodiyot

Iqtibos keltirish

APADjuraev Turabay, Джураев Турабай, & Djurayev Turabay (2026). ECONOMETRIC MODELING AND EVALUATION OF DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS OF COTTON–TEXTILE CLUSTERS. Меҳнат иқтисодиёти ва инсон капитали, 5(5), 133-141. https://doi.org/10.67668/lehc/vol5iss3/338
GOST (OAK)Djuraev Turabay, Джураев Турабай, Djurayev Turabay ECONOMETRIC MODELING AND EVALUATION OF DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS OF COTTON–TEXTILE CLUSTERS // Меҳнат иқтисодиёти ва инсон капитали. – 2026. – T. 5, № 5. – P. 133-141. – DOI: 10.67668/lehc/vol5iss3/338.
MLADjuraev Turabay, Джураев Турабай, and Djurayev Turabay. “ECONOMETRIC MODELING AND EVALUATION OF DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS OF COTTON–TEXTILE CLUSTERS.” Меҳнат иқтисодиёти ва инсон капитали, 5(5), 133-141, 2026. https://doi.org/10.67668/lehc/vol5iss3/338
ChicagoDjuraev Turabay, Джураев Турабай, and Djurayev Turabay. “ECONOMETRIC MODELING AND EVALUATION OF DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS OF COTTON–TEXTILE CLUSTERS.” Меҳнат иқтисодиёти ва инсон капитали, 5(5), 133-141 (2026). https://doi.org/10.67668/lehc/vol5iss3/338
HarvardDjuraev Turabay, Джураев Турабай, and Djurayev Turabay (2026) ‘ECONOMETRIC MODELING AND EVALUATION OF DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS OF COTTON–TEXTILE CLUSTERS’, Меҳнат иқтисодиёти ва инсон капитали, 5(5), 133-141. https://doi.org/10.67668/lehc/vol5iss3/338
BibTeX
@article{djuraevturabay2026,
  title = {ECONOMETRIC MODELING AND EVALUATION OF DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS OF COTTON–TEXTILE CLUSTERS},
  author = {Djuraev Turabay and Джураев Турабай and Djurayev Turabay},
  journal = {Меҳнат иқтисодиёти ва инсон капитали},
  year = {2026},
  volume = {5},
  number = {5},
  pages = {133-141},
  doi = {10.67668/lehc/vol5iss3/338},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.67668/lehc/vol5iss3/338}
}

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