Modeling and forecasting the scientific publishing activity of higher education institutions (a case study of scopus data).

Sakieva, Ozoda

Innovation science and technologiy · 2026-yil

Annotatsiya

The key factors influencing the international ranking indicators of higher education institutions are examined, withparticular attention given to the dynamics of scientific publications indexed in the Scopus international scientific database. The researchfocuses on the scientific activities of the academic staff of Termiz State University and their participation in international publicationsduring 2019–2025. Based on time-series analysis, exponential and polynomial trend models were developed to forecast the growthrate of scientific publications. The obtained results enabled the evaluation and interpretation of model parameters, providing a basis forrelevant scientific conclusions

DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.20969899 · Maqolaning asl sahifasi

Kalit so‘zlar

ordinary least squares method, Scopus international scientific database, exponential trend model, linear regression, regression model, model accuracy, forecast value, mean squared error.

Iqtibos keltirish

@article{sakievaozoda2026,
  title = {MODELING AND FORECASTING THE SCIENTIFIC PUBLISHING ACTIVITY OF HIGHER EDUCATION INSTITUTIONS (A CASE STUDY OF SCOPUS DATA).},
  author = {Sakieva, Ozoda},
  journal = {Innovation science and technologiy},
  year = {2026},
  volume = {2},
  number = {6},
  doi = {10.5281/zenodo.20969899},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20969899}
}

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