A novel prognostic system for 30-DAY mortality in patients with ulcer upper gastrointestinal bleeding

ISMATI Amir Olimovich, MAMARAJABOV Sobirjon Ergashevich, ANOSOV Viktor Davidovich

Journal of Biomedicine and Practice – Biomeditsina va amaliyot jurnali · 2025-yil

Annotatsiya

Upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) remains a serious medical issue with a high incidence rate and significant mortality. Despite modern advancements in diagnosis and treatment, mortality rates have not decreased, making accurate prognosis a crucial challenge in contemporary medicine. Objective. To develop and validate a novel prognostic system for assessing the risk of 30-day in-hospital mortality in patients with ulcerative UGIB. Materials and Methods. A two-center study was conducted, comprising a retrospective derivation phase and a prospective validation phase, performed using a double-blind method. Analysis was carried out using logistic regression and factor clustering. The developed prognostic system was compared with six recommended scoring systems. Results. The novel system demonstrated an excellent AUROC score (0.853). Its sensitivity reached 76.47%, and specificity was 94.12%, allowing for a more accurate identification of patients at high risk of fatal outcomes compared to existing analogs. Conclusion. The newly developed prognostic system exhibits high accuracy in predicting 30-day in-hospital mortality in patients with ulcerative UGIB.

Maqola ma’lumotlari
MualliflarISMATI Amir Olimovich, MAMARAJABOV Sobirjon Ergashevich, ANOSOV Viktor Davidovich
JurnalJournal of Biomedicine and Practice – Biomeditsina va amaliyot jurnali
NashriyotТошкент давлат стоматалогия институти, , «Expert Lawyers» MЧЖ
ISSN2181-9300
Nashr sanasi2025-06-16
Jild10
Son2
TilIngliz
Ilmiy sohaTibbiyot
Indeksga qo‘shilgan2026-08-27

Maqolaning asl sahifasi

Kalit so‘zlar

прогностическая система, летальность, желудочно-кишечное кровотечение, новая разработка, prognostic system, mortality, gastrointestinal bleeding, novel development, prognoz tizimi, o‘lim xavfi, oshqozon-ichak qon ketishi, yangi ishlanma

Ilmiy soha

Tibbiyot

Iqtibos keltirish

APAISMATI Amir Olimovich, MAMARAJABOV Sobirjon Ergashevich, & ANOSOV Viktor Davidovich (2025). A NOVEL PROGNOSTIC SYSTEM FOR 30-DAY MORTALITY IN PATIENTS WITH ULCER UPPER GASTROINTESTINAL BLEEDING. Journal of Biomedicine and Practice – Biomeditsina va amaliyot jurnali, 10(2). https://tadqiqot.uz/index.php/biomedicine/article/view/11575
GOST (OAK)ISMATI Amir Olimovich, MAMARAJABOV Sobirjon Ergashevich, ANOSOV Viktor Davidovich A NOVEL PROGNOSTIC SYSTEM FOR 30-DAY MORTALITY IN PATIENTS WITH ULCER UPPER GASTROINTESTINAL BLEEDING // Journal of Biomedicine and Practice – Biomeditsina va amaliyot jurnali. – 2025. – T. 10, № 2.
MLAISMATI Amir Olimovich, MAMARAJABOV Sobirjon Ergashevich, and ANOSOV Viktor Davidovich. “A NOVEL PROGNOSTIC SYSTEM FOR 30-DAY MORTALITY IN PATIENTS WITH ULCER UPPER GASTROINTESTINAL BLEEDING.” Journal of Biomedicine and Practice – Biomeditsina va amaliyot jurnali, 10(2), 2025. https://tadqiqot.uz/index.php/biomedicine/article/view/11575
ChicagoISMATI Amir Olimovich, MAMARAJABOV Sobirjon Ergashevich, and ANOSOV Viktor Davidovich. “A NOVEL PROGNOSTIC SYSTEM FOR 30-DAY MORTALITY IN PATIENTS WITH ULCER UPPER GASTROINTESTINAL BLEEDING.” Journal of Biomedicine and Practice – Biomeditsina va amaliyot jurnali, 10(2) (2025). https://tadqiqot.uz/index.php/biomedicine/article/view/11575
HarvardISMATI Amir Olimovich, MAMARAJABOV Sobirjon Ergashevich, and ANOSOV Viktor Davidovich (2025) ‘A NOVEL PROGNOSTIC SYSTEM FOR 30-DAY MORTALITY IN PATIENTS WITH ULCER UPPER GASTROINTESTINAL BLEEDING’, Journal of Biomedicine and Practice – Biomeditsina va amaliyot jurnali, 10(2). https://tadqiqot.uz/index.php/biomedicine/article/view/11575
BibTeX
@article{ismatiamirolimovich2025,
  title = {A NOVEL PROGNOSTIC SYSTEM FOR 30-DAY MORTALITY IN PATIENTS WITH ULCER UPPER GASTROINTESTINAL BLEEDING},
  author = {ISMATI Amir Olimovich and MAMARAJABOV Sobirjon Ergashevich and ANOSOV Viktor Davidovich},
  journal = {Journal of Biomedicine and Practice – Biomeditsina va amaliyot jurnali},
  year = {2025},
  volume = {10},
  number = {2},
  url = {https://tadqiqot.uz/index.php/biomedicine/article/view/11575}
}

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