This article develops a nonlinear dynamic model for assessing the joint effect of on-line reviews, ratings, communication activity, and negative information on tourist visit intention.The model contains five dimensionless state indices: destination image, visit intention, communica-tion influence, online-rating influence, and negative-information pressure. Numerical solutions areobtained using the classical fourth-order Runge–Kutta method. Five scenarios are compared oversixty conditional time units: baseline, stronger communication, improved online ratings, growth ofnegative information, and integrated management. Using a single consistent parameter set, the finalvisit-intention index increases by about 19.5% under stronger communication, by 33.8% when therating channel improves, and by 58.3% under integrated management, whereas stronger negative in-formation reduces it by about 23.0%. The results support the use of the model as a scenario-analysistool for digital destination-image management.
| Mualliflar | Mirzoodilov, Javohir, Safarova, Sevara, Yunusova, Shoxsanam |
|---|---|
| Jurnal | Ўзбекистон Миллий университети хабарлари |
| Nashriyot | Ўзбекистон Миллий университети |
| ISSN | 2181-7324, 3093-8996 |
| Nashr sanasi | 2026-10-07 |
| Jild | 2 |
| Son | 2.3 |
| Betlar | 124-131 |
| Til | Ingliz |
| Ilmiy soha | Geografiya |
| Indeksga qo‘shilgan | 2026-10-08 |
online reviews; eWOM; destination image; tourist visit intention; negative information; nonlinear dynamic model; Runge–Kutta method; scenario analysis.
| APA | Mirzoodilov, Javohir, Safarova, Sevara, & Yunusova, Shoxsanam (2026). Numerical Modeling of the Impact of Online Reviews and Negative Information on Tourist Visit Intention. Ўзбекистон Миллий университети хабарлари, 2(2.3), 124-131. https://journals.nuu.uz/index.php/actanuuz/article/view/15256 |
|---|---|
| GOST (OAK) | Mirzoodilov, Javohir, Safarova, Sevara, Yunusova, Shoxsanam Numerical Modeling of the Impact of Online Reviews and Negative Information on Tourist Visit Intention // Ўзбекистон Миллий университети хабарлари. – 2026. – T. 2, № 2.3. – P. 124-131. |
| MLA | Mirzoodilov, Javohir, Safarova, Sevara, and Yunusova, Shoxsanam. “Numerical Modeling of the Impact of Online Reviews and Negative Information on Tourist Visit Intention.” Ўзбекистон Миллий университети хабарлари, 2(2.3), 124-131, 2026. https://journals.nuu.uz/index.php/actanuuz/article/view/15256 |
| Chicago | Mirzoodilov, Javohir, Safarova, Sevara, and Yunusova, Shoxsanam. “Numerical Modeling of the Impact of Online Reviews and Negative Information on Tourist Visit Intention.” Ўзбекистон Миллий университети хабарлари, 2(2.3), 124-131 (2026). https://journals.nuu.uz/index.php/actanuuz/article/view/15256 |
| Harvard | Mirzoodilov, Javohir, Safarova, Sevara, and Yunusova, Shoxsanam (2026) ‘Numerical Modeling of the Impact of Online Reviews and Negative Information on Tourist Visit Intention’, Ўзбекистон Миллий университети хабарлари, 2(2.3), 124-131. https://journals.nuu.uz/index.php/actanuuz/article/view/15256 |
| BibTeX | @article{mirzoodilovjavohir2026,
title = {Numerical Modeling of the Impact of Online Reviews and Negative Information on Tourist Visit Intention},
author = {Mirzoodilov, Javohir and Safarova, Sevara and Yunusova, Shoxsanam},
journal = {Ўзбекистон Миллий университети хабарлари},
year = {2026},
volume = {2},
number = {2.3},
pages = {124-131},
url = {https://journals.nuu.uz/index.php/actanuuz/article/view/15256}
} |
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