Econometric analysis and forecasting of the transformation of state-owned banks in Uzbekistan

Salamov Islam Tashkazakovich

Marketing · 2026-yil

Annotatsiya

The study examined how macroeconomic conditions related to the transformation of state-owned banks in Uzbekistan, taking JSCB Turonbank as its case. The author combined descriptive statistics, Pearson correlation and ordinary least squares regression, drawing on monthly banking indicators and annual macroeconomic series for 2018-2025. The analysis identified a strong positive association between the refinancing rate and capital adequacy, and an inverse association between inflation and non-performing loans. Predicted values for 2025 came close to reported outcomes, which confirmed a satisfactory in-sample fit. The author interpreted the estimates as statistical associations, since the annual series remained short. The conclusion proposed measures on capital management, credit monitoring, corporate governance and digitalisation that strengthen financial resilience and support evidence-based transformation decisions.

Maqola ma’lumotlari
MualliflarSalamov Islam Tashkazakovich
JurnalMarketing
NashriyotТошкент давлат иқтисодиёт университети
ISSN3060-4621
Nashr sanasi2026-09-07
Son9
Betlar17-24
TilIngliz
Ilmiy sohaIqtisodiyot
DOI10.67668/mj/2026iss9/1936
Indeksga qo‘shilgan2026-10-18

DOI: 10.67668/mj/2026iss9/1936 · Maqolaning asl sahifasi

Kalit so‘zlar

state-owned banks, bank transformation, Turonbank, capital adequacy, non-performing loans, macroeconomic factors, econometric analysis.

Ilmiy soha

Iqtisodiyot

Iqtibos keltirish

APASalamov Islam Tashkazakovich (2026). ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING OF THE TRANSFORMATION OF STATE-OWNED BANKS IN UZBEKISTAN. Marketing, (9), 17-24. https://doi.org/10.67668/mj/2026iss9/1936
GOST (OAK)Salamov Islam Tashkazakovich ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING OF THE TRANSFORMATION OF STATE-OWNED BANKS IN UZBEKISTAN // Marketing. – 2026. – № 9. – P. 17-24. – DOI: 10.67668/mj/2026iss9/1936.
MLASalamov Islam Tashkazakovich. “ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING OF THE TRANSFORMATION OF STATE-OWNED BANKS IN UZBEKISTAN.” Marketing, (9), 17-24, 2026. https://doi.org/10.67668/mj/2026iss9/1936
ChicagoSalamov Islam Tashkazakovich. “ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING OF THE TRANSFORMATION OF STATE-OWNED BANKS IN UZBEKISTAN.” Marketing, (9), 17-24 (2026). https://doi.org/10.67668/mj/2026iss9/1936
HarvardSalamov Islam Tashkazakovich (2026) ‘ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING OF THE TRANSFORMATION OF STATE-OWNED BANKS IN UZBEKISTAN’, Marketing, (9), 17-24. https://doi.org/10.67668/mj/2026iss9/1936
BibTeX
@article{salamovislamtashkazakovich2026,
  title = {ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING OF THE TRANSFORMATION OF STATE-OWNED BANKS IN UZBEKISTAN},
  author = {Salamov Islam Tashkazakovich},
  journal = {Marketing},
  year = {2026},
  number = {9},
  pages = {17-24},
  doi = {10.67668/mj/2026iss9/1936},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.67668/mj/2026iss9/1936}
}

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