Allocation of personal income tax revenue to district and city budgets: a regional panel-data econometric study

Umida

Innovation science and technologiy · 2026-yil

Annotatsiya

This article empirically evaluates, using panel-data econometric methods, the effectiveness of themechanism introduced by Presidential Law No. LRQ-1011 of 24 December 2024 of the Republic of Uzbekistan,which mandates that at least 50 percent of personal income tax (PIT) revenue be channeled to district and citybudgets.A balanced panel comprising 84 districts and 711 observations was constructed from district-level StateTax Committee data spanning 2017–2025. Three estimators were employed: Pooled OLS, Random Effects(RE) and Fixed Effects (FE). The identification strategy relies on first-difference (FD) analysis and pre/postcomparisons using the Welch t-test and Mann–Whitney U-test.The FE model estimates a stable annual log-growth of 32.5 percent over 2017–2025 (β = 0.325; p <0.001). The first-difference analysis for 2024–2025 places the mean log-change at +0.394 (approximately+48.2 percent; t = 4.60; p < 0.001). The 2025 growth rate exceeded the pre-policy period average by +23.8percentage points, a difference confirmed by both the Welch t-test (p = 0.011) and the Mann–Whitney U-test (p< 0.001). Positive revenue dynamics were recorded in 81.9 percent of districts.The empirical evidence confirms that the 2025 regulatory-budgetary reform produced a statisticallysignificant and geographically widespread positive effect on district-level PIT revenues. These findings validatethe practical soundness of the 50-percent allocation mechanism advanced within the dissertation

Maqola ma’lumotlari
MualliflarUmida
JurnalInnovation science and technologiy
NashriyotТошкент давлат иқтисодиёт университети
Nashr sanasi2026-04-01
Jild2
Son4
TilIngliz
Ilmiy sohaIqtisodiyot
DOI10.5281/zenodo.20792933
Indeksga qo‘shilgan2026-08-26

DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.20792933 · Maqolaning asl sahifasi

Kalit so‘zlar

fiscal decentralization; personal income tax; panel data; fixed effects; local budget; intergovernmental fiscal relations

Ilmiy soha

Iqtisodiyot

Iqtibos keltirish

APAUmida (2026). ALLOCATION OF PERSONAL INCOME TAX REVENUE TO DISTRICT AND CITY BUDGETS: A REGIONAL PANEL-DATA ECONOMETRIC STUDY. Innovation science and technologiy, 2(4). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20792933
GOST (OAK)Umida ALLOCATION OF PERSONAL INCOME TAX REVENUE TO DISTRICT AND CITY BUDGETS: A REGIONAL PANEL-DATA ECONOMETRIC STUDY // Innovation science and technologiy. – 2026. – T. 2, № 4. – DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.20792933.
MLAUmida. “ALLOCATION OF PERSONAL INCOME TAX REVENUE TO DISTRICT AND CITY BUDGETS: A REGIONAL PANEL-DATA ECONOMETRIC STUDY.” Innovation science and technologiy, 2(4), 2026. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20792933
ChicagoUmida. “ALLOCATION OF PERSONAL INCOME TAX REVENUE TO DISTRICT AND CITY BUDGETS: A REGIONAL PANEL-DATA ECONOMETRIC STUDY.” Innovation science and technologiy, 2(4) (2026). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20792933
HarvardUmida (2026) ‘ALLOCATION OF PERSONAL INCOME TAX REVENUE TO DISTRICT AND CITY BUDGETS: A REGIONAL PANEL-DATA ECONOMETRIC STUDY’, Innovation science and technologiy, 2(4). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20792933
BibTeX
@article{umida2026,
  title = {ALLOCATION OF PERSONAL INCOME TAX REVENUE TO DISTRICT AND CITY BUDGETS: A REGIONAL PANEL-DATA ECONOMETRIC STUDY},
  author = {Umida},
  journal = {Innovation science and technologiy},
  year = {2026},
  volume = {2},
  number = {4},
  doi = {10.5281/zenodo.20792933},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20792933}
}

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