The paper investigates a mathematical and statistical methodology for designing risk profileindicators (RPIs) — the central element of customs risk management. Using two datasets — 16,035consignments with detected discrepancies and 616,925 declarations — seven base indicators are combinedinto 120 combinations and 386,516 risk indicator sets. Conditional probabilities are computed with Bayes–Laplace smoothing, and the lift coefficient ranks combinations by their fraud-detection power.
| Mualliflar | Niyazov, Sherzod |
|---|---|
| Jurnal | Innovation science and technologiy |
| Nashriyot | Тошкент давлат иқтисодиёт университети |
| Nashr sanasi | 2026-05-01 |
| Jild | 2 |
| Son | 5 |
| Til | Ingliz |
| Ilmiy soha | Iqtisodiyot |
| DOI | 10.5281/zenodo.20390828 |
| Indeksga qo‘shilgan | 2026-08-26 |
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.20390828 · Maqolaning asl sahifasi
risk management, customs control, risk profile, conditional probability, Laplace smoothing, lift coefficient, naive Bayes classifier, association rules
| APA | Niyazov, Sherzod (2026). METHODOLOGICAL FOUNDATIONS FOR FORMING CUSTOMS RISK PROFILE INDICATORS BASED ON MATHEMATICAL AND STATISTICAL METHODS. Innovation science and technologiy, 2(5). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20390828 |
|---|---|
| GOST (OAK) | Niyazov, Sherzod METHODOLOGICAL FOUNDATIONS FOR FORMING CUSTOMS RISK PROFILE INDICATORS BASED ON MATHEMATICAL AND STATISTICAL METHODS // Innovation science and technologiy. – 2026. – T. 2, № 5. – DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.20390828. |
| MLA | Niyazov, Sherzod. “METHODOLOGICAL FOUNDATIONS FOR FORMING CUSTOMS RISK PROFILE INDICATORS BASED ON MATHEMATICAL AND STATISTICAL METHODS.” Innovation science and technologiy, 2(5), 2026. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20390828 |
| Chicago | Niyazov, Sherzod. “METHODOLOGICAL FOUNDATIONS FOR FORMING CUSTOMS RISK PROFILE INDICATORS BASED ON MATHEMATICAL AND STATISTICAL METHODS.” Innovation science and technologiy, 2(5) (2026). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20390828 |
| Harvard | Niyazov, Sherzod (2026) ‘METHODOLOGICAL FOUNDATIONS FOR FORMING CUSTOMS RISK PROFILE INDICATORS BASED ON MATHEMATICAL AND STATISTICAL METHODS’, Innovation science and technologiy, 2(5). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20390828 |
| BibTeX | @article{niyazovsherzod2026,
title = {METHODOLOGICAL FOUNDATIONS FOR FORMING CUSTOMS RISK PROFILE INDICATORS BASED ON MATHEMATICAL AND STATISTICAL METHODS},
author = {Niyazov, Sherzod},
journal = {Innovation science and technologiy},
year = {2026},
volume = {2},
number = {5},
doi = {10.5281/zenodo.20390828},
url = {https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20390828}
} |
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