This paper investigates pricing strategies for green hydrogen produced from renewable sources, focusing onmitigating cost uncertainties. First, it analyzes key cost components capital expenditure (CAPEX), operational expenditure(OPEX), transportation, and storage and identifies their stochastic uncertainty drivers. Using a Monte Carlo simulationframework with 10,000 iterations, the study quantifies the probability distributions of costs and market parameters. Threepricing approaches are compared: static single-price setting, dynamic market-responsive pricing, and long-term offtakeagreement pricing. For each strategy, internal rate of return (IRR), value at risk (VaR 95 %), and net profit margins arecalculated. Results demonstrate that dynamic pricing yields the highest IRR (10.5 %) and lowest risk (VaR 10 %), whileofftake agreements provide long-term revenue stability. Policy recommendations include targeted tax incentives, subsidyschemes, and continuous data-sharing platforms to enhance market transparency and investor confidence.
| Mualliflar | Komila Sanakulovna Nuraliyeva |
|---|---|
| Jurnal | Innovation science and technologiy |
| Nashr sanasi | 2025-06-02 |
| Jild | 1 |
| Son | 5 |
| Betlar | 174-178 |
| Til | Ingliz |
| DOI | 10.5281/zenodo.17443941 |
DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17443941 · Maqolaning asl sahifasi
Green hydrogen, renewable energy, pricing strategy, cost uncertainty, Monte Carlo simulation, dynamic pricing, offtake agreement, CAPEX and OPEX, market mechanisms, regulatory recommendations.
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