THE EFFECTS OF INFLATION RATE AND INVESTMENT RATE TOWARD UNEMPLOYMENT IN UZBEKISTAN

Ruziev Bekmurod Urol ugli, Dr.Susanti Kurniawati

Innovation science and technologiy · 2025-yil

Annotatsiya

This study examines how Uzbekistan's unemployment rate is impacted by investment and inflation ratesbetween 2000–2024. Designing successful labor market strategies requires an awareness of these relationships,particularly in a transitioning economy like Uzbekistan, where external shocks and structural reforms constantly impactmacroeconomic dynamics. Two important variables that are frequently examined in economic theory for their potentialeffects on employment levels are inflation and investment; however, there is currently little empirical research specifc toUzbekistan.Using annual data collected from reputable sources such as the World Bank, International Monetary Fund (IMF), and theState Committee of the Republic of Uzbekistan on Statistics, this research applies the Autoregressive Distributed Lag(ARDL) bounds testing approach. This method is particularly suitable given the small sample size and the presence ofmixed integration orders among the variables. The model is designed to explore both short-term and long-term dynamics,providing a comprehensive view of how inflation and investment influence unemployment trends over time.The results have important policy implications. For Uzbekistan to maintain and enhance employment levels, thegovernment should prioritize policies that attract and sustain both domestic and foreign investments. Simultaneously,maintaining moderate inflation through sound monetary policies remains important to support aggregate demand withouttriggering macroeconomic instability

Maqola ma’lumotlari
MualliflarRuziev Bekmurod Urol ugli, Dr.Susanti Kurniawati
JurnalInnovation science and technologiy
Nashr sanasi2025-05-30
Jild1
Son5
Betlar43-46
TilIngliz
DOI10.5281/zenodo.17443557

Kalit so‘zlar

inflation, investment, unemployment, ARDL model, economic growth, labor market, monetary policy.

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