Abstract: Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning (HVAC) systems account for about 40% of building energy use. Their performance is strongly affected by uncertain external factors such as weather and stochastic occupancy, limiting deterministic control strategies. This study proposes a probabilistic optimization framework for HVAC management, modeling occupancy as a stochastic process and weather via probability distributions. Indoor temperature and CO₂ dynamics are described by stochastic differential equations within a constrained optimization problem. A stochastic Model Predictive Control (MPC) with Monte Carlo sampling is applied, achieving 10–15% expected energy savings and improved comfort reliability, especially in educational and office buildings.
| Mualliflar | Rahimova, Mohira, Varlamova, Lyudmila |
|---|---|
| Jurnal | Al-Farg'oniy avlodlari |
| Nashriyot | ТАТУ Фарғона филиали |
| ISSN | 2181-4252 |
| Nashr sanasi | 2025-10-03 |
| Son | 3 |
| Betlar | 75-79 |
| Til | Ingliz |
| Ilmiy soha | Texnika |
| Indeksga qo‘shilgan | 2026-08-26 |
English, HVAC systems;, energy optimization;, uncertainty modeling;, probabilistic approach;, stochastic control;, occupancy prediction;, weather variability.
| APA | Rahimova, Mohira, & Varlamova, Lyudmila (2025). OPTIMIZATION OF HVAC ENERGY CONSUMPTION UNDER UNCERTAINTY OF EXTERNAL CONDITIONS: A PROBABILISTIC MODELING APPROACH. Al-Farg'oniy avlodlari, (3), 75-79. https://al-fargoniy.uz/index.php/journal/article/view/888 |
|---|---|
| GOST (OAK) | Rahimova, Mohira, Varlamova, Lyudmila OPTIMIZATION OF HVAC ENERGY CONSUMPTION UNDER UNCERTAINTY OF EXTERNAL CONDITIONS: A PROBABILISTIC MODELING APPROACH // Al-Farg'oniy avlodlari. – 2025. – № 3. – P. 75-79. |
| MLA | Rahimova, Mohira, and Varlamova, Lyudmila. “OPTIMIZATION OF HVAC ENERGY CONSUMPTION UNDER UNCERTAINTY OF EXTERNAL CONDITIONS: A PROBABILISTIC MODELING APPROACH.” Al-Farg'oniy avlodlari, (3), 75-79, 2025. https://al-fargoniy.uz/index.php/journal/article/view/888 |
| Chicago | Rahimova, Mohira, and Varlamova, Lyudmila. “OPTIMIZATION OF HVAC ENERGY CONSUMPTION UNDER UNCERTAINTY OF EXTERNAL CONDITIONS: A PROBABILISTIC MODELING APPROACH.” Al-Farg'oniy avlodlari, (3), 75-79 (2025). https://al-fargoniy.uz/index.php/journal/article/view/888 |
| Harvard | Rahimova, Mohira, and Varlamova, Lyudmila (2025) ‘OPTIMIZATION OF HVAC ENERGY CONSUMPTION UNDER UNCERTAINTY OF EXTERNAL CONDITIONS: A PROBABILISTIC MODELING APPROACH’, Al-Farg'oniy avlodlari, (3), 75-79. https://al-fargoniy.uz/index.php/journal/article/view/888 |
| BibTeX | @article{rahimovamohira2025,
title = {OPTIMIZATION OF HVAC ENERGY CONSUMPTION UNDER UNCERTAINTY OF EXTERNAL CONDITIONS: A PROBABILISTIC MODELING APPROACH},
author = {Rahimova, Mohira and Varlamova, Lyudmila},
journal = {Al-Farg'oniy avlodlari},
year = {2025},
number = {3},
pages = {75-79},
url = {https://al-fargoniy.uz/index.php/journal/article/view/888}
} |
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