Long-term forecast of flow dynamics in the chirchik river basin in the context of climate change

Kh. Sh. Gafforov, Akmal Ungalov, Anming Bao, Nodir Olimjonov

Илм-фан ва инновацион ривожланиш · 2023-yil

Annotatsiya

Assessing the impact of the past and future climatic differences on the runoff dynamics in river basins is important in view to ensure sustainable agricultural output in the future, as well as to reduce the impact of climate change on the environment. This situation requires urgent and concerted action in several areas: technology, infrastructure, policy, economics, ecology and environment. The study assesses the impact of changing precipitation intensity on the flow dynamics of the Chirchik River based on the Global Circulation Model (GCM) for 2030, 2050 and 2070 using the delta approach method under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. The study findings convincingly show changes in flow dynamics in the Chirchik River basin in the short and long term perspectives. This study will be useful information to ensure sustainable agricultural productivity and food security in the Chirchik basin in response to climate change, as well as to develop a mechanism for operational water management to protect the environment, improve the social status of society and achieve economic sustainability in the region.

Maqola ma’lumotlari
MualliflarKh. Sh. Gafforov, Akmal Ungalov, Anming Bao, Nodir Olimjonov
JurnalИлм-фан ва инновацион ривожланиш
NashriyotИнновацион ривожланиш вазирлиги
ISSN2181-9637, 2181-4317
Nashr sanasi2023-02-24
Jild5
Son1
Betlar82-94
TilIngliz
DOI10.36522/2181-9637-2022-1-8
Indeksga qo‘shilgan2026-09-02

DOI: 10.36522/2181-9637-2022-1-8 · Maqolaning asl sahifasi

Iqtibos keltirish

APAKh. Sh. Gafforov, Akmal Ungalov, Anming Bao, & Nodir Olimjonov (2023). LONG-TERM FORECAST OF FLOW DYNAMICS IN THE CHIRCHIK RIVER BASIN IN THE CONTEXT OF CLIMATE CHANGE. Илм-фан ва инновацион ривожланиш, 5(1), 82-94. https://doi.org/10.36522/2181-9637-2022-1-8
GOST (OAK)Kh. Sh. Gafforov va b. LONG-TERM FORECAST OF FLOW DYNAMICS IN THE CHIRCHIK RIVER BASIN IN THE CONTEXT OF CLIMATE CHANGE // Илм-фан ва инновацион ривожланиш. – 2023. – T. 5, № 1. – P. 82-94. – DOI: 10.36522/2181-9637-2022-1-8.
MLAKh. Sh. Gafforov, Akmal Ungalov, Anming Bao, and Nodir Olimjonov. “LONG-TERM FORECAST OF FLOW DYNAMICS IN THE CHIRCHIK RIVER BASIN IN THE CONTEXT OF CLIMATE CHANGE.” Илм-фан ва инновацион ривожланиш, 5(1), 82-94, 2023. https://doi.org/10.36522/2181-9637-2022-1-8
ChicagoKh. Sh. Gafforov, Akmal Ungalov, Anming Bao, and Nodir Olimjonov. “LONG-TERM FORECAST OF FLOW DYNAMICS IN THE CHIRCHIK RIVER BASIN IN THE CONTEXT OF CLIMATE CHANGE.” Илм-фан ва инновацион ривожланиш, 5(1), 82-94 (2023). https://doi.org/10.36522/2181-9637-2022-1-8
HarvardKh. Sh. Gafforov, Akmal Ungalov, Anming Bao, and Nodir Olimjonov (2023) ‘LONG-TERM FORECAST OF FLOW DYNAMICS IN THE CHIRCHIK RIVER BASIN IN THE CONTEXT OF CLIMATE CHANGE’, Илм-фан ва инновацион ривожланиш, 5(1), 82-94. https://doi.org/10.36522/2181-9637-2022-1-8
BibTeX
@article{khshgafforov2023,
  title = {LONG-TERM FORECAST OF FLOW DYNAMICS IN THE CHIRCHIK RIVER BASIN IN THE CONTEXT OF CLIMATE CHANGE},
  author = {Kh. Sh. Gafforov and Akmal Ungalov and Anming Bao and Nodir Olimjonov},
  journal = {Илм-фан ва инновацион ривожланиш},
  year = {2023},
  volume = {5},
  number = {1},
  pages = {82-94},
  doi = {10.36522/2181-9637-2022-1-8},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.36522/2181-9637-2022-1-8}
}

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