Digitalization, research capacity and higher education development in Uzbekistan: an ardl–ecm analysis (2000–2024)

Ismailova , Nilufar

Яшил иқтисодиёт ва тараққиёт · 2026-yil

Annotatsiya

This study investigates the dynamic relationship between digitalization, research capacity, and the development ofhigher education in Uzbekistan over the period 2000-2024. Using annual time-series data on tertiary education enrollment,the number of researchers engaged in research and development (R&D), internet usage, and R&D expenditure, the studyexamines both short-run and long-run effects within the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) and Error CorrectionModel (ECM) framework. Unit root test results confirm that all variables are integrated of order I(1), thereby justifying theapplication of the ARDL bounds testing approach to cointegration analysis. The empirical findings reveal the existence ofa stable long-run equilibrium relationship among higher education enrollment, digital connectivity, and research-relatedindicators. The statistically significant error correction term indicates that short-term deviations from long-run equilibriumare gradually adjusted over time. While the short-run impacts of R&D expenditure and research personnel are relativelymodest, internet penetration demonstrates a positive and economically meaningful effect on tertiary enrollment. Thishighlights the critical role of digital infrastructure in expanding access to higher education. Overall, the results suggestthat policies focused on strengthening digital connectivity and progressively enhancing research capacity can effectivelysupport the sustainable development of the higher education system in Uzbekistan

Maqola ma’lumotlari
MualliflarIsmailova , Nilufar
JurnalЯшил иқтисодиёт ва тараққиёт
NashriyotТошкент давлат иқтисодиёт университети
ISSN2992-8982
Nashr sanasi2026-01-01
Jild4
Son1
TilIngliz
Ilmiy sohaIqtisodiyot
DOI10.5281/zenodo.18434569
Indeksga qo‘shilgan2026-08-26

DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18434569 · Maqolaning asl sahifasi

Kalit so‘zlar

higher education development; tertiary enrollment; digitalization; internet penetration; research and development; ARDL-ECM; time series analysis

Ilmiy soha

Iqtisodiyot

Iqtibos keltirish

APAIsmailova , Nilufar (2026). DIGITALIZATION, RESEARCH CAPACITY AND HIGHER EDUCATION DEVELOPMENT IN UZBEKISTAN: AN ARDL–ECM ANALYSIS (2000–2024). Яшил иқтисодиёт ва тараққиёт, 4(1). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18434569
GOST (OAK)Ismailova , Nilufar DIGITALIZATION, RESEARCH CAPACITY AND HIGHER EDUCATION DEVELOPMENT IN UZBEKISTAN: AN ARDL–ECM ANALYSIS (2000–2024) // Яшил иқтисодиёт ва тараққиёт. – 2026. – T. 4, № 1. – DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18434569.
MLAIsmailova , Nilufar. “DIGITALIZATION, RESEARCH CAPACITY AND HIGHER EDUCATION DEVELOPMENT IN UZBEKISTAN: AN ARDL–ECM ANALYSIS (2000–2024).” Яшил иқтисодиёт ва тараққиёт, 4(1), 2026. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18434569
ChicagoIsmailova , Nilufar. “DIGITALIZATION, RESEARCH CAPACITY AND HIGHER EDUCATION DEVELOPMENT IN UZBEKISTAN: AN ARDL–ECM ANALYSIS (2000–2024).” Яшил иқтисодиёт ва тараққиёт, 4(1) (2026). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18434569
HarvardIsmailova , Nilufar (2026) ‘DIGITALIZATION, RESEARCH CAPACITY AND HIGHER EDUCATION DEVELOPMENT IN UZBEKISTAN: AN ARDL–ECM ANALYSIS (2000–2024)’, Яшил иқтисодиёт ва тараққиёт, 4(1). https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18434569
BibTeX
@article{ismailovanilufar2026,
  title = {DIGITALIZATION, RESEARCH CAPACITY AND HIGHER EDUCATION DEVELOPMENT IN UZBEKISTAN: AN ARDL–ECM ANALYSIS (2000–2024)},
  author = {Ismailova , Nilufar},
  journal = {Яшил иқтисодиёт ва тараққиёт},
  year = {2026},
  volume = {4},
  number = {1},
  doi = {10.5281/zenodo.18434569},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18434569}
}

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