FROM CITY ASSETS TO PRODUCTIVE JOBS: AN EVENT-HISTORY FRAMEWORK FOR DIAGNOSING URBAN GROWTH CONSTRAINTS IN HISTORICAL CITIES

Zaxidov, Azizbek

Муҳандислик ва Иқтисодиёт · 2026-yil

Annotatsiya

This article develops a qualitative framework for diagnosing why the economic assets of secondary cities donot always translate into productive investment, stable employment, and higher household earnings. It reformulates a fieldinstrument prepared for Kokand, Samarkand, and Khiva as an article-level research design. The central methodologicalclaim is that urban constraints should not be inferred from rankings of general problems. They should be reconstructedthrough concrete, dated decisions in which an investor, worker, household, public agency, or service provider faced abinding obstacle and altered behaviour as a result.The framework combines seven respondent-specific interview protocols with a common event-history sequence. Eachinterview begins with a real investment, hiring, connection, service, training, tourism, commuting, or household-enterpriseevent. It then identifies the relevant actor and rule, reconstructs the order of actions, measures the associated shadowprice, records the workaround, compares the case with a less-exposed or successful case, and tests the responseexpected if the constraint were relaxed. The unit of evidence is therefore a causal-process observation rather than anunstructured opinion.The comparative design links this evidence to five diagnostic pillars: market access; firm capabilities and business inputs;labour allocation, skills, and inclusion; land, infrastructure, urban access, and amenities; and institutions, coordination,and policy incidence. Common questions support comparison across the three cities, while targeted probes addressinherited industrial and craft capabilities in Kokand, tourism, development, and heritage pressures in Samarkand, andwater, sanitation, destination management, and seasonality in Khiva.The article shows how the interview architecture can distinguish a binding constraint from a visible symptom. Crediblediagnosis requires convergence across actors, measurable costs or delays, behavioural responses, negative cases,documentary corroboration, and a clear policy locus. The framework is intended for hypothesis testing and prioritisationbefore large-scale policy design. It does not report completed fieldwork; instead, it establishes the analytical structurethrough which field evidence can be converted into city-specific causal narratives and actionable reform propositions.

Maqola ma’lumotlari
MualliflarZaxidov, Azizbek
JurnalМуҳандислик ва Иқтисодиёт
Nashr sanasi2026-08-01
Jild4
Son8
Betlar353-359
TilIngliz

Maqolaning asl sahifasi

Kalit so‘zlar

Urban Growth Diagnostics; Event-History Interviews; Causal-Process Observations; Binding Constraints; Secondary Cities; Kokand; Samarkand; Khiva; Institutional Coordination; Policy Incidence.

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