Enhancing liquidity management efficiency in joint-stock companies using the geometric brownian motion (gbm) model

Kurbonov , Xayrilla

Муҳандислик ва Иқтисодиёт · 2026-yil

Annotatsiya

The scientific article studies the effectiveness of using the Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) model, whichis considered one of the modern methods for effective liquidity management in joint-stock business entities. The articleempirically analyzes the nature of random fluctuations in cash flows and their volatility based on a probabilistic-statisticalapproach. In the case of “Qizilqumsement” JSC, logarithmic growth rates and GBM parameters (μ and σ) were estimatedbased on data for 2017–2024. A cash flow forecast simulation for 2025–2035 was developed using Monte Carlo simulation(1000 scenarios). As a result, it was proven that high volatility and a negative trend in cash flows were observed and thatit is necessary to introduce buffer mechanisms to manage liquidity risks

Maqola ma’lumotlari
MualliflarKurbonov , Xayrilla
JurnalМуҳандислик ва Иқтисодиёт
NashriyotПлеханов номидаги Россия иқтисодиёти университетининг Тошкент шаҳридаги филиали
ISSN3060-463X, 3060-463X
Nashr sanasi2026-04-01
Jild4
Son4
TilIngliz
Ilmiy sohaIqtisodiyot
Indeksga qo‘shilgan2026-08-26

Maqolaning asl sahifasi

Kalit so‘zlar

Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM), cash flows, liquidity management, volatility, Monte Carlo simulation, Cash Flow at Risk (CFaR), 3σ risk model, reserve buffers, current financial stability, forecasting, simulation

Ilmiy soha

Iqtisodiyot

Iqtibos keltirish

APAKurbonov , Xayrilla (2026). ENHANCING LIQUIDITY MANAGEMENT EFFICIENCY IN JOINT-STOCK COMPANIES USING THE GEOMETRIC BROWNIAN MOTION (GBM) MODEL. Муҳандислик ва Иқтисодиёт, 4(4). https://muhandislik-iqtisodiyot.uz/index.php/journal/article/view/2545
GOST (OAK)Kurbonov , Xayrilla ENHANCING LIQUIDITY MANAGEMENT EFFICIENCY IN JOINT-STOCK COMPANIES USING THE GEOMETRIC BROWNIAN MOTION (GBM) MODEL // Муҳандислик ва Иқтисодиёт. – 2026. – T. 4, № 4.
MLAKurbonov , Xayrilla. “ENHANCING LIQUIDITY MANAGEMENT EFFICIENCY IN JOINT-STOCK COMPANIES USING THE GEOMETRIC BROWNIAN MOTION (GBM) MODEL.” Муҳандислик ва Иқтисодиёт, 4(4), 2026. https://muhandislik-iqtisodiyot.uz/index.php/journal/article/view/2545
ChicagoKurbonov , Xayrilla. “ENHANCING LIQUIDITY MANAGEMENT EFFICIENCY IN JOINT-STOCK COMPANIES USING THE GEOMETRIC BROWNIAN MOTION (GBM) MODEL.” Муҳандислик ва Иқтисодиёт, 4(4) (2026). https://muhandislik-iqtisodiyot.uz/index.php/journal/article/view/2545
HarvardKurbonov , Xayrilla (2026) ‘ENHANCING LIQUIDITY MANAGEMENT EFFICIENCY IN JOINT-STOCK COMPANIES USING THE GEOMETRIC BROWNIAN MOTION (GBM) MODEL’, Муҳандислик ва Иқтисодиёт, 4(4). https://muhandislik-iqtisodiyot.uz/index.php/journal/article/view/2545
BibTeX
@article{kurbonovxayrilla2026,
  title = {ENHANCING LIQUIDITY MANAGEMENT EFFICIENCY IN JOINT-STOCK COMPANIES USING THE GEOMETRIC BROWNIAN MOTION (GBM) MODEL},
  author = {Kurbonov , Xayrilla},
  journal = {Муҳандислик ва Иқтисодиёт},
  year = {2026},
  volume = {4},
  number = {4},
  url = {https://muhandislik-iqtisodiyot.uz/index.php/journal/article/view/2545}
}

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