Forecast analysis of bank resources and deposit dynamics in Uzbekistan: the case of uzpromstroybank

Sarsenbayev , Bakhitzhan, Allambergenova , Nargiza, Kengesov , Diyorbek, Сарсенбаев , Бахитжан, Алламбергенова , Наргиза, Кенгесов , Диёрбек, Sarsenbayev , Baxitjan, Allambergenova , Nargiza, Kengesov , Diyorbek

Илғор иқтисодиёт ва педагогик технологиялар · 2025-yil

Annotatsiya

This study analyses historical data (2000–2024) to forecast Uzpromstroybank’s deposit base and total resource trends using simple OLS regression models. A linear time-trend model is estimated for both series to capture long-run growth. The regression results show strong, significant upward trends (high R², statistically significant coefficients) for deposits and resources, indicating robust growth. Forecasts generated by extrapolating these trends suggest continued expansion of the bank’s deposits and resources in the short term. The findings are relevant for bank management and policymakers, as they highlight the trajectory of funding sources in Uzbekistan’s banking sector. Limitations include the simplicity of the linear model and potential structural changes, nonetheless, the results provide a baseline projection and underline the importance of improving deposit mobilization and financial sector reforms.

Maqola ma’lumotlari
MualliflarSarsenbayev , Bakhitzhan, Allambergenova , Nargiza, Kengesov , Diyorbek, Сарсенбаев , Бахитжан, Алламбергенова , Наргиза, Кенгесов , Диёрбек, Sarsenbayev , Baxitjan, Allambergenova , Nargiza, Kengesov , Diyorbek
JurnalИлғор иқтисодиёт ва педагогик технологиялар
NashriyotТошкент давлат иқтисодиёт университети ҳузуридаги «Ўзбекистон иқтисодиётини ривожлантиришнинг илмий асослари ва муаммолари» илмий-тадқиқот маркази
ISSN1994-2025
Nashr sanasi2025-05-27
Jild2
Son3
Betlar96-100
TilIngliz
Ilmiy sohaIqtisodiyot
DOI10.60078/3060-4842-2025-vol2-iss3-pp96-100
Indeksga qo‘shilgan2026-08-26

DOI: 10.60078/3060-4842-2025-vol2-iss3-pp96-100 · Maqolaning asl sahifasi

Kalit so‘zlar

Uzbekistan, Uzpromstroybank, banking sector, deposit dynamics, forecasting, time series, ordinary least squares (OLS), financial resources, trend analysis, Узбекистан, Узпромстройбанк, банковский сектор, динамика депозитов, прогнозирование, временные ряды, метод наименьших квадратов (OLS), финансовые ресурсы, анализ трендов, O‘zbekiston, O‘zsanoatqurilishbank, bank sektori, depozitlar dinamikasi, prognozlash, vaqt qatorlari, eng kichik kvadratlar (OLS), moliyaviy resurslar, tendensiyalar tahlili

Ilmiy soha

Iqtisodiyot

Iqtibos keltirish

APASarsenbayev , Bakhitzhan, Allambergenova , Nargiza, Kengesov , Diyorbek, Сарсенбаев , Бахитжан, Алламбергенова , Наргиза, Кенгесов , Диёрбек, Sarsenbayev , Baxitjan, Allambergenova , Nargiza, & Kengesov , Diyorbek (2025). FORECAST ANALYSIS OF BANK RESOURCES AND DEPOSIT DYNAMICS IN UZBEKISTAN: THE CASE OF UZPROMSTROYBANK. Илғор иқтисодиёт ва педагогик технологиялар, 2(3), 96-100. https://doi.org/10.60078/3060-4842-2025-vol2-iss3-pp96-100
GOST (OAK)Sarsenbayev , Bakhitzhan va b. FORECAST ANALYSIS OF BANK RESOURCES AND DEPOSIT DYNAMICS IN UZBEKISTAN: THE CASE OF UZPROMSTROYBANK // Илғор иқтисодиёт ва педагогик технологиялар. – 2025. – T. 2, № 3. – P. 96-100. – DOI: 10.60078/3060-4842-2025-vol2-iss3-pp96-100.
MLASarsenbayev , Bakhitzhan, Allambergenova , Nargiza, Kengesov , Diyorbek, Сарсенбаев , Бахитжан, Алламбергенова , Наргиза, Кенгесов , Диёрбек, Sarsenbayev , Baxitjan, Allambergenova , Nargiza, and Kengesov , Diyorbek. “FORECAST ANALYSIS OF BANK RESOURCES AND DEPOSIT DYNAMICS IN UZBEKISTAN: THE CASE OF UZPROMSTROYBANK.” Илғор иқтисодиёт ва педагогик технологиялар, 2(3), 96-100, 2025. https://doi.org/10.60078/3060-4842-2025-vol2-iss3-pp96-100
ChicagoSarsenbayev , Bakhitzhan, Allambergenova , Nargiza, Kengesov , Diyorbek, Сарсенбаев , Бахитжан, Алламбергенова , Наргиза, Кенгесов , Диёрбек, Sarsenbayev , Baxitjan, Allambergenova , Nargiza, and Kengesov , Diyorbek. “FORECAST ANALYSIS OF BANK RESOURCES AND DEPOSIT DYNAMICS IN UZBEKISTAN: THE CASE OF UZPROMSTROYBANK.” Илғор иқтисодиёт ва педагогик технологиялар, 2(3), 96-100 (2025). https://doi.org/10.60078/3060-4842-2025-vol2-iss3-pp96-100
HarvardSarsenbayev , Bakhitzhan, Allambergenova , Nargiza, Kengesov , Diyorbek, Сарсенбаев , Бахитжан, Алламбергенова , Наргиза, Кенгесов , Диёрбек, Sarsenbayev , Baxitjan, Allambergenova , Nargiza, and Kengesov , Diyorbek (2025) ‘FORECAST ANALYSIS OF BANK RESOURCES AND DEPOSIT DYNAMICS IN UZBEKISTAN: THE CASE OF UZPROMSTROYBANK’, Илғор иқтисодиёт ва педагогик технологиялар, 2(3), 96-100. https://doi.org/10.60078/3060-4842-2025-vol2-iss3-pp96-100
BibTeX
@article{sarsenbayevbakhitzhan2025,
  title = {FORECAST ANALYSIS OF BANK RESOURCES AND DEPOSIT DYNAMICS IN UZBEKISTAN: THE CASE OF UZPROMSTROYBANK},
  author = {Sarsenbayev , Bakhitzhan and Allambergenova , Nargiza and Kengesov , Diyorbek and Сарсенбаев , Бахитжан and Алламбергенова , Наргиза and Кенгесов , Диёрбек and Sarsenbayev , Baxitjan and Allambergenova , Nargiza and Kengesov , Diyorbek},
  journal = {Илғор иқтисодиёт ва педагогик технологиялар},
  year = {2025},
  volume = {2},
  number = {3},
  pages = {96-100},
  doi = {10.60078/3060-4842-2025-vol2-iss3-pp96-100},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.60078/3060-4842-2025-vol2-iss3-pp96-100}
}

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