Methodological foundations for developing accident scenarios and assessing emergency preparedness indicators in industrial enterprises

Aliev Abu Bakr, Narziev Shovkiddin

Innovative Multidisciplinary Journal of Applied Technology · 2026-yil

Annotatsiya

This article develops a conceptual and methodological approach to assessing industrial enterprises’ preparedness for technological emergencies based on accident scenarios, time dynamics, and the technical and organizational reliability of protective systems. The study aims to evaluate both the availability of protective measures and their capacity to perform required functions before critical time limits are reached. Accident progression is examined as a complex process involving an initiating event, hazard development, detection, warning, decision-making, protective system activation, and evacuation. The analytical model integrates total protective response time, critical time, the time margin coefficient, and the effectiveness and reliability of protective functions. Overall preparedness is assessed using risk weights reflecting scenario probabilities and consequence severity. Theoretical analysis indicates that a high integrated preparedness score does not guarantee effective protection when time margins are insufficient. Human-related delays in decision-making and evacuation are examined, and high, limited, and insufficient preparedness levels are characterized. Automation, evacuation route optimization, protective system redundancy, and diagnostics are identified as improvement priorities. The proposed approach may provide a methodological basis for conducting safety audits, developing emergency response plans, and designing protective systems.

Maqola ma’lumotlari
MualliflarAliev Abu Bakr, Narziev Shovkiddin
JurnalInnovative Multidisciplinary Journal of Applied Technology
NashriyotТДТУ Қўқон филиали
ISSN2995-486X, 2995-486x
Nashr sanasi2026-10-05
Jild4
Son10
Betlar19-25
TilIngliz
Ilmiy sohaTexnika
DOI10.51699/3p4xzf74
Indeksga qo‘shilgan2026-10-10

Kalit so‘zlar

Industrial enterprise, technological emergency, accident scenario, preparedness level, critical time, time margin coefficient, protective function, human factor, risk-based assessment

Ilmiy soha

Iqtibos keltirish

APAAliev Abu Bakr, & Narziev Shovkiddin (2026). METHODOLOGICAL FOUNDATIONS FOR DEVELOPING ACCIDENT SCENARIOS AND ASSESSING EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS INDICATORS IN INDUSTRIAL ENTERPRISES. Innovative Multidisciplinary Journal of Applied Technology, 4(10), 19-25. https://doi.org/10.51699/3p4xzf74
GOST (OAK)Aliev Abu Bakr, Narziev Shovkiddin METHODOLOGICAL FOUNDATIONS FOR DEVELOPING ACCIDENT SCENARIOS AND ASSESSING EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS INDICATORS IN INDUSTRIAL ENTERPRISES // Innovative Multidisciplinary Journal of Applied Technology. – 2026. – T. 4, № 10. – P. 19-25. – DOI: 10.51699/3p4xzf74.
MLAAliev Abu Bakr, and Narziev Shovkiddin. “METHODOLOGICAL FOUNDATIONS FOR DEVELOPING ACCIDENT SCENARIOS AND ASSESSING EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS INDICATORS IN INDUSTRIAL ENTERPRISES.” Innovative Multidisciplinary Journal of Applied Technology, 4(10), 19-25, 2026. https://doi.org/10.51699/3p4xzf74
ChicagoAliev Abu Bakr, and Narziev Shovkiddin. “METHODOLOGICAL FOUNDATIONS FOR DEVELOPING ACCIDENT SCENARIOS AND ASSESSING EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS INDICATORS IN INDUSTRIAL ENTERPRISES.” Innovative Multidisciplinary Journal of Applied Technology, 4(10), 19-25 (2026). https://doi.org/10.51699/3p4xzf74
HarvardAliev Abu Bakr, and Narziev Shovkiddin (2026) ‘METHODOLOGICAL FOUNDATIONS FOR DEVELOPING ACCIDENT SCENARIOS AND ASSESSING EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS INDICATORS IN INDUSTRIAL ENTERPRISES’, Innovative Multidisciplinary Journal of Applied Technology, 4(10), 19-25. https://doi.org/10.51699/3p4xzf74
BibTeX
@article{alievabubakr2026,
  title = {METHODOLOGICAL FOUNDATIONS FOR DEVELOPING ACCIDENT SCENARIOS AND ASSESSING EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS INDICATORS IN INDUSTRIAL ENTERPRISES},
  author = {Aliev Abu Bakr and Narziev Shovkiddin},
  journal = {Innovative Multidisciplinary Journal of Applied Technology},
  year = {2026},
  volume = {4},
  number = {10},
  pages = {19-25},
  doi = {10.51699/3p4xzf74},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.51699/3p4xzf74}
}

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