Risk assessment in the field of traffic safety in railway transport

Каракулов, Ф.З.

Темир йўл транспорти: долзарб масалалар ва инновациялар · 2026-yil

Annotatsiya

The article discusses a method for assessing risks in the field of traffic safety based on Bayesian decision rules. This approach makes it possible to assess risks not only from the side of technical means operated on the railway transport network, but also to calculate the risks in the field of traffic safety associated with the influence of the human factor and with decision-making processes on the part ofcontrol systems. The calculation ofthe Bayesian risk under the condition ofa quadratic loss function and a random variable under study distributed according to the normal law can be carried out when studying the impact of changes in ensuring the safety of railway transportation associated with errors in the work ofmaintenance personnel, as well as when assessing the decisions made on traffic safety with aspects ofthe railway indus-try management system. Bayesian risk is understood as an estimate oflosses depend-ing on the decision made on the parameters of the random distribution of the critical indicator oftrain traffic safety, taking into account the norm established for it. Devia-tions from maintenance standards that directly affect traffic safety (gauge, "fatigue" parameters ofrails, excess work ofpersonnel, etc.) can serve as critical indicators.

Maqola ma’lumotlari
MualliflarКаракулов, Ф.З.
JurnalТемир йўл транспорти: долзарб масалалар ва инновациялар
NashriyotТошкент давлат транспорт университети
ISSN2181-953X
Nashr sanasi2026-09-10
Jild3
Son4
Betlar147-160
TilIngliz
Ilmiy sohaTexnika
Indeksga qo‘shilgan2026-09-11

Maqolaning asl sahifasi

Kalit so‘zlar

метод Байеса, безопасность движения, нарушения безопасности движения, оценка рисков, эксплуатация железнодорожного транспорта., Bayes method, traffic safety, traffic safety violations, risk assessment, railway transport operation.

Ilmiy soha

Texnika

Iqtibos keltirish

APAКаракулов, Ф.З. (2026). RISK ASSESSMENT IN THE FIELD OF TRAFFIC SAFETY IN RAILWAY TRANSPORT. Темир йўл транспорти: долзарб масалалар ва инновациялар, 3(4), 147-160. https://transportjournals.com/index.php/InnoTrans/article/view/329
GOST (OAK)Каракулов, Ф.З. RISK ASSESSMENT IN THE FIELD OF TRAFFIC SAFETY IN RAILWAY TRANSPORT // Темир йўл транспорти: долзарб масалалар ва инновациялар. – 2026. – T. 3, № 4. – P. 147-160.
MLAКаракулов, Ф.З. “RISK ASSESSMENT IN THE FIELD OF TRAFFIC SAFETY IN RAILWAY TRANSPORT.” Темир йўл транспорти: долзарб масалалар ва инновациялар, 3(4), 147-160, 2026. https://transportjournals.com/index.php/InnoTrans/article/view/329
ChicagoКаракулов, Ф.З. “RISK ASSESSMENT IN THE FIELD OF TRAFFIC SAFETY IN RAILWAY TRANSPORT.” Темир йўл транспорти: долзарб масалалар ва инновациялар, 3(4), 147-160 (2026). https://transportjournals.com/index.php/InnoTrans/article/view/329
HarvardКаракулов, Ф.З (2026) ‘RISK ASSESSMENT IN THE FIELD OF TRAFFIC SAFETY IN RAILWAY TRANSPORT’, Темир йўл транспорти: долзарб масалалар ва инновациялар, 3(4), 147-160. https://transportjournals.com/index.php/InnoTrans/article/view/329
BibTeX
@article{article2026,
  title = {RISK ASSESSMENT IN THE FIELD OF TRAFFIC SAFETY IN RAILWAY TRANSPORT},
  author = {Каракулов, Ф.З.},
  journal = {Темир йўл транспорти: долзарб масалалар ва инновациялар},
  year = {2026},
  volume = {3},
  number = {4},
  pages = {147-160},
  url = {https://transportjournals.com/index.php/InnoTrans/article/view/329}
}

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