Latent demand and the capacity illusion in rail transport

Kurambayev , Alisher

Муҳандислик ва Иқтисодиёт · 2026-yil

Annotatsiya

This thesis examines the extent to which observed ticket sales may not fully reflect the level of unmet demand in railway passengertransport, particularly when services operate at or near full capacity. The study aims to distinguish between booked demand andlatent demand and to demonstrate, through an access-coefficient adjustment, that potential unmet demand can be estimated quantitatively.Latent demand was reconstructed for a national high-speed passenger service across four domestic routes by adjusting observedweekly seat sales using a booking-access coefficient calibrated to service frequency. The results indicate an overall shortage coefficientof 0.367, suggesting that a substantial share of potential passengers may remain unaccommodated under existing capacity conditions.The corresponding estimated weekly foregone ticket revenue exceeds five billion UZS, with the largest absolute value observed on thehighest-frequency route.

Maqola ma’lumotlari
MualliflarKurambayev , Alisher
JurnalМуҳандислик ва Иқтисодиёт
NashriyotПлеханов номидаги Россия иқтисодиёти университетининг Тошкент шаҳридаги филиали
ISSN3060-463X, 3060-463X
Nashr sanasi2026-03-30
Jild4
Son3
Betlar354-356
TilIngliz
Ilmiy sohaTexnika
Indeksga qo‘shilgan2026-09-06

Maqolaning asl sahifasi

Kalit so‘zlar

latent demand, censored demand, railway passenger transport, capacity shortage, foregone ticket revenue.

Ilmiy soha

Texnika

Iqtibos keltirish

APAKurambayev , Alisher (2026). LATENT DEMAND AND THE CAPACITY ILLUSION IN RAIL TRANSPORT. Муҳандислик ва Иқтисодиёт, 4(3), 354-356. https://muhandislik-iqtisodiyot.uz/index.php/journal/article/view/4126
GOST (OAK)Kurambayev , Alisher LATENT DEMAND AND THE CAPACITY ILLUSION IN RAIL TRANSPORT // Муҳандислик ва Иқтисодиёт. – 2026. – T. 4, № 3. – P. 354-356.
MLAKurambayev , Alisher. “LATENT DEMAND AND THE CAPACITY ILLUSION IN RAIL TRANSPORT.” Муҳандислик ва Иқтисодиёт, 4(3), 354-356, 2026. https://muhandislik-iqtisodiyot.uz/index.php/journal/article/view/4126
ChicagoKurambayev , Alisher. “LATENT DEMAND AND THE CAPACITY ILLUSION IN RAIL TRANSPORT.” Муҳандислик ва Иқтисодиёт, 4(3), 354-356 (2026). https://muhandislik-iqtisodiyot.uz/index.php/journal/article/view/4126
HarvardKurambayev , Alisher (2026) ‘LATENT DEMAND AND THE CAPACITY ILLUSION IN RAIL TRANSPORT’, Муҳандислик ва Иқтисодиёт, 4(3), 354-356. https://muhandislik-iqtisodiyot.uz/index.php/journal/article/view/4126
BibTeX
@article{kurambayevalisher2026,
  title = {LATENT DEMAND AND THE CAPACITY ILLUSION IN RAIL TRANSPORT},
  author = {Kurambayev , Alisher},
  journal = {Муҳандислик ва Иқтисодиёт},
  year = {2026},
  volume = {4},
  number = {3},
  pages = {354-356},
  url = {https://muhandislik-iqtisodiyot.uz/index.php/journal/article/view/4126}
}

Boshqa maqola uchun iqtibos tayyorlash

Муҳандислик ва Иқтисодиёт jurnalidan boshqa maqolalar

Муҳандислик ва Иқтисодиёт — barcha maqolalar · 2026-yil arxivi

Kurambayev , Alisher — boshqa maqolalari

Texnika sohasidagi boshqa maqolalar

Texnika sohasidagi OAK jurnallari