Forecasting Uzbekistan’s GDP by autoregressive integrated moving average (arima) model

Azibaev , Akhmadkhon

Techscience.uz - техника фанлари долзарб масалалри · 2025-yil

Annotatsiya

This paper is about the ARIMA (Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average) model to forecast Uzbekistan’s GDP for the period 2025–2030, with country’s economic trajectory . GDP is a critical measure of economic activity, reflecting the monetary value of all goods and services produced within a nation. The analysis emphasizes the importance of forecasting GDP for effective policymaking, resource allocation, and investment planning. Results indicate a general upward trend in Uzbekistan’s GDP, with occasional fluctuations. The ARIMA model demonstrates robust predictive capabilities, aligning with historical patterns and current economic reforms. Despite its reliability, the study highlights potential improvements through hybrid approaches incorporating external factors

Maqola ma’lumotlari
MualliflarAzibaev , Akhmadkhon
JurnalTechscience.uz - техника фанлари долзарб масалалри
NashriyotЖиззах политехника институти
ISSN3030-3702, 3030-3702
Nashr sanasi2025-08-11
Jild3
Son5
Betlar30-35
TilIngliz
Ilmiy sohaTexnika
DOI10.47390/ts-v3i5y2025n5
Indeksga qo‘shilgan2026-08-26

DOI: 10.47390/ts-v3i5y2025n5 · Maqolaning asl sahifasi

Kalit so‘zlar

GDP forecasting, ARIMA model, Uzbekistan economy, economic policy, time series analysis, economic planning., YaIM prognozi, ARIMA modeli, O‘zbekiston iqtisodiyoti, iqtisodiy siyosat, vaqt qatori tahlili, iqtisodiy rejalashtirish

Ilmiy soha

Texnika

Iqtibos keltirish

APAAzibaev , Akhmadkhon (2025). FORECASTING UZBEKISTAN’S GDP BY AUTOREGRESSIVE INTEGRATED MOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) MODEL. Techscience.uz - техника фанлари долзарб масалалри, 3(5), 30-35. https://doi.org/10.47390/ts-v3i5y2025n5
GOST (OAK)Azibaev , Akhmadkhon FORECASTING UZBEKISTAN’S GDP BY AUTOREGRESSIVE INTEGRATED MOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) MODEL // Techscience.uz - техника фанлари долзарб масалалри. – 2025. – T. 3, № 5. – P. 30-35. – DOI: 10.47390/ts-v3i5y2025n5.
MLAAzibaev , Akhmadkhon. “FORECASTING UZBEKISTAN’S GDP BY AUTOREGRESSIVE INTEGRATED MOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) MODEL.” Techscience.uz - техника фанлари долзарб масалалри, 3(5), 30-35, 2025. https://doi.org/10.47390/ts-v3i5y2025n5
ChicagoAzibaev , Akhmadkhon. “FORECASTING UZBEKISTAN’S GDP BY AUTOREGRESSIVE INTEGRATED MOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) MODEL.” Techscience.uz - техника фанлари долзарб масалалри, 3(5), 30-35 (2025). https://doi.org/10.47390/ts-v3i5y2025n5
HarvardAzibaev , Akhmadkhon (2025) ‘FORECASTING UZBEKISTAN’S GDP BY AUTOREGRESSIVE INTEGRATED MOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) MODEL’, Techscience.uz - техника фанлари долзарб масалалри, 3(5), 30-35. https://doi.org/10.47390/ts-v3i5y2025n5
BibTeX
@article{azibaevakhmadkhon2025,
  title = {FORECASTING UZBEKISTAN’S GDP BY AUTOREGRESSIVE INTEGRATED MOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA) MODEL},
  author = {Azibaev , Akhmadkhon},
  journal = {Techscience.uz - техника фанлари долзарб масалалри},
  year = {2025},
  volume = {3},
  number = {5},
  pages = {30-35},
  doi = {10.47390/ts-v3i5y2025n5},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.47390/ts-v3i5y2025n5}
}

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