This article empirically investigates the determinants of inbound tourism in Uzbekistan and the contribution of tourism to economic growth. Annual data for 2012–2023 are analysed using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds testing framework of Pesaran, Shin and Smith (2001). The bounds test F-statistic of 7.701 exceeds the upper critical bound of 3.79 at the 5% significance level, confirming a long-run cointegrating relationship. The error-correction coefficient of −0.6424 indicates approximately 64% annual adjustment toward equilibrium. The long-run elasticity of tourist arrivals on GDP is estimated at 0.0075, consistent with the tourism-led growth hypothesis. Trade openness and exchange rate are the most significant growth channels. The paper contributes to the empirical literature on Uzbekistan and provides policy recommendations for tourism and exchange rate management.
| Mualliflar | Temur, Махкамов , Темур, Makhkamov , Temur |
|---|---|
| Jurnal | Иқтисодий тараққиёт ва таҳлил |
| Nashriyot | Ўзбекистон иқтисодиётини ривожлантиришнинг илмий-тадқиқот маркази |
| ISSN | 2992-877X |
| Nashr sanasi | 2026-05-25 |
| Jild | 4 |
| Son | 5 |
| Betlar | 87-95 |
| Til | Ingliz |
| Ilmiy soha | Iqtisodiyot |
| DOI | 10.60078/2992-877x-2026-vol4-iss5-pp87-95 |
| Indeksga qo‘shilgan | 2026-08-27 |
DOI: 10.60078/2992-877x-2026-vol4-iss5-pp87-95 · Maqolaning asl sahifasi
tourism, economic growth, ARDL, cointegration, trade openness, туризм, экономический рост, ARDL, коинтеграция, открытость, turizm, iqtisodiy o‘sis, ARDL, kointegratsiya, savdo ochiqligi
| APA | Temur, Махкамов , Темур, & Makhkamov , Temur (2026). DETERMINANTS OF TOURISM AND THEIR IMPACT ON ECONOMIC GROWTH: EVIDENCE FROM UZBEKISTAN. Иқтисодий тараққиёт ва таҳлил, 4(5), 87-95. https://doi.org/10.60078/2992-877x-2026-vol4-iss5-pp87-95 |
|---|---|
| GOST (OAK) | Temur, Махкамов , Темур, Makhkamov , Temur DETERMINANTS OF TOURISM AND THEIR IMPACT ON ECONOMIC GROWTH: EVIDENCE FROM UZBEKISTAN // Иқтисодий тараққиёт ва таҳлил. – 2026. – T. 4, № 5. – P. 87-95. – DOI: 10.60078/2992-877x-2026-vol4-iss5-pp87-95. |
| MLA | Temur, Махкамов , Темур, and Makhkamov , Temur. “DETERMINANTS OF TOURISM AND THEIR IMPACT ON ECONOMIC GROWTH: EVIDENCE FROM UZBEKISTAN.” Иқтисодий тараққиёт ва таҳлил, 4(5), 87-95, 2026. https://doi.org/10.60078/2992-877x-2026-vol4-iss5-pp87-95 |
| Chicago | Temur, Махкамов , Темур, and Makhkamov , Temur. “DETERMINANTS OF TOURISM AND THEIR IMPACT ON ECONOMIC GROWTH: EVIDENCE FROM UZBEKISTAN.” Иқтисодий тараққиёт ва таҳлил, 4(5), 87-95 (2026). https://doi.org/10.60078/2992-877x-2026-vol4-iss5-pp87-95 |
| Harvard | Temur, Махкамов , Темур, and Makhkamov , Temur (2026) ‘DETERMINANTS OF TOURISM AND THEIR IMPACT ON ECONOMIC GROWTH: EVIDENCE FROM UZBEKISTAN’, Иқтисодий тараққиёт ва таҳлил, 4(5), 87-95. https://doi.org/10.60078/2992-877x-2026-vol4-iss5-pp87-95 |
| BibTeX | @article{temur2026,
title = {DETERMINANTS OF TOURISM AND THEIR IMPACT ON ECONOMIC GROWTH: EVIDENCE FROM UZBEKISTAN},
author = {Temur and Махкамов , Темур and Makhkamov , Temur},
journal = {Иқтисодий тараққиёт ва таҳлил},
year = {2026},
volume = {4},
number = {5},
pages = {87-95},
doi = {10.60078/2992-877x-2026-vol4-iss5-pp87-95},
url = {https://doi.org/10.60078/2992-877x-2026-vol4-iss5-pp87-95}
} |
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